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Lakers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Sunday, April 26

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · NBC, Peacock
35% win LALwin HOU 65%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin4.8
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (52-33) host the Los Angeles Lakers (56-29) on Sunday, April 26 at 9:30 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 96 – Rockets 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 30-12 at home and the Lakers are 26-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Rockets L3, Lakers W6).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Lakers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 4.8 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +4.0 / LAL +1.6 per game
+2.5
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+4.8

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Lakers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

LALHOU
115.7
Points scored / game
114.6
113.8
Points allowed / game
109.9
52.9 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
39.2 %
3-point %
40.4 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
79.1 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.0
Assists / game
28.2
10.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.8
Blocks / game
6.0
16.6
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Lakers
Deandre AytonC · #819pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #239assists
Deandre AytonC · #810rebounds
Rockets
Amen ThompsonG · #123pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #17assists
Tari EasonF · #178rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALHOU
56-29Record52-33
115.7Points scored / game114.6
113.8Points allowed / game109.9
+1.6Adjusted margin / game+4.0
W6Current streakL3
7-3Last 10 games6-4
26-16 roadHome / road record30-12 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.