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Lakers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Friday, April 24

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Prime Video
35% win LALwin HOU 65%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin4.9
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (52-32) host the Los Angeles Lakers (55-29) on Friday, April 24 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Lakers 112 – Rockets 108. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 65% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 30-11 at home and the Lakers are 25-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 7-3 for the Lakers (current streaks: Rockets L2, Lakers W5).

The analysis Model

The Rockets are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Rockets 116 – 111 Lakers, a margin of about 4.9 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.9 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +4.1 / LAL +1.5 per game
+2.6
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+4.9

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
34%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Lakers win by 10+
12%

Stat comparison Current season

LALHOU
115.7
Points scored / game
114.7
113.9
Points allowed / game
109.9
52.9 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
39.2 %
3-point %
40.4 %
36.2
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
79.1 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
38.0
Rebounds / game
44.8
24.0
Assists / game
28.2
10.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.8
Blocks / game
6.0
16.6
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2329pts / game
Marcus SmartG · #3610assists
LeBron JamesF · #2313rebounds
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2833pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #157assists
Alperen SengunC · #2816rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAL
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LALHOU
55-29Record52-32
115.7Points scored / game114.7
113.9Points allowed / game109.9
+1.5Adjusted margin / game+4.1
W5Current streakL2
7-3Last 10 games7-3
25-16 roadHome / road record30-11 home
50-32 (+1.2)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.