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Rockets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 21

Finalcrypto.com Arena · NBC, Peacock
51% win HOUwin LAL 49%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin0.4
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (54-29) host the Houston Rockets (52-31) on Tuesday, April 21 at 10:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 94 – Lakers 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 29-13 at home and the Rockets are 22-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 8-2 for the Rockets (current streaks: Lakers W4, Rockets L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Lakers 113 – 114 Rockets, a margin of about 0.4 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.5 / HOU +4.2 per game
-2.7
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-0.4

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

HOULAL
114.9
Points scored / game
115.9
110.0
Points allowed / game
114.1
51.7 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
84.7 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.8
6.0
Blocks / game
5.8
15.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #723pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #19assists
Alperen SengunC · #2811rebounds
Lakers
LeBron JamesF · #2328pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #237assists
LeBron JamesF · #238rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOULAL
52-31Record54-29
114.9Points scored / game115.9
110.0Points allowed / game114.1
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+1.5
L1Current streakW4
8-2Last 10 games7-3
22-20 roadHome / road record29-13 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.