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Rockets vs Lakers prediction NBA · Saturday, April 18

Finalcrypto.com Arena · ABC
52% win HOUwin LAL 48%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin0.6
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Los Angeles Lakers (53-29) host the Houston Rockets (52-30) on Saturday, April 18 at 8:30 PM ET at crypto.com Arena in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 98 – Lakers 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 52% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Lakers are 28-13 at home and the Rockets are 22-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Lakers and 9-1 for the Rockets (current streaks: Lakers W3, Rockets W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Lakers 114 – 115 Rockets, a margin of about 0.6 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Lakers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.0 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Lakers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAL +1.4 / HOU +4.4 per game
-2.9
Home-court advantageLakers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Lakers
-0.6

Scenarios

Lakers win by 10+
20%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Rockets win by 10+
23%

Stat comparison Current season

HOULAL
115.1
Points scored / game
116.0
110.0
Points allowed / game
114.3
51.7 %
Field goal %
52.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
39.2 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
36.2
84.7 %
Free throw %
79.1 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
38.0
28.2
Assists / game
24.0
10.2
Steals / game
10.8
6.0
Blocks / game
5.8
15.8
Turnovers / game
16.6

Top performers

Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2819pts / game
Reed SheppardG · #158assists
Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1012rebounds
Lakers
Luke KennardG · #827pts / game
LeBron JamesF · #2313assists
Deandre AytonC · #811rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
LAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOULAL
52-30Record53-29
115.1Points scored / game116.0
110.0Points allowed / game114.3
+4.4Adjusted margin / game+1.4
W1Current streakW3
9-1Last 10 games7-3
22-19 roadHome / road record28-13 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season50-32 (+1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Los Angeles Lakers Injury report Lakers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.