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Trail Blazers vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, April 14

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · Prime Video
39% win PORwin PHX 61%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin3.6
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (45-37) host the Portland Trail Blazers (42-40) on Tuesday, April 14 at 10:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 114 – Suns 110. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 25-16 at home and the Trail Blazers are 18-23 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 7-3 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Suns W1, Trail Blazers W2).

The analysis Model

The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 116 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (111.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.8 / POR -0.5 per game
+1.3
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+3.6

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PORPHX
114.9
Points scored / game
112.7
115.5
Points allowed / game
111.8
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
38.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
70.8 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
39.7
30.7
Assists / game
25.3
8.3
Steals / game
8.7
2.7
Blocks / game
5.3
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Deni AvdijaF · #841pts / game
Deni AvdijaF · #812assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2311rebounds
Suns
Jalen GreenG · #435pts / game
Oso IghodaroF · #116assists
Royce O'NealeF · #008rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORPHX
42-40Record45-37
114.9Points scored / game112.7
115.5Points allowed / game111.8
-0.5Adjusted margin / game+0.8
W2Current streakW1
7-3Last 10 games5-5
18-23 roadHome / road record25-16 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.