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Suns vs Trail Blazers prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 3

FinalModa Center · NBC, Peacock, KUNP 16, Arizona's Family CBS5
54% win PHXwin POR 46%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin1.3
Projected total229
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Portland Trail Blazers (23-27) host the Phoenix Suns (30-20) on Tuesday, February 3 at 11:00 PM ET at Moda Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 130 – Trail Blazers 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Trail Blazers are 13-12 at home and the Suns are 13-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Trail Blazers and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Trail Blazers L5, Suns L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Trail Blazers 114 – 115 Suns, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Trail Blazers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)POR -2.4 / PHX +1.2 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageTrail Blazers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Trail Blazers
-1.3

Scenarios

Trail Blazers win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Suns win by 10+
24%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXPOR
113.8
Points scored / game
114.3
112.4
Points allowed / game
117.1
45.6 %
Field goal %
51.1 %
31.9 %
3-point %
38.9 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
43.7
73.9 %
Free throw %
70.8 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
46.3
25.3
Assists / game
30.7
8.7
Steals / game
8.3
5.3
Blocks / game
2.7
14.0
Turnovers / game
13.3

Top performers

Suns
Collin GillespieG · #1230pts / game
Collin GillespieG · #1210assists
Mark WilliamsC · #2511rebounds
Trail Blazers
Jerami GrantF · #323pts / game
Sidy CissokoG · #916assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2315rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
POR
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHXPOR
30-20Record23-27
113.8Points scored / game114.3
112.4Points allowed / game117.1
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-2.4
L1Current streakL5
6-4Last 10 games4-6
13-13 roadHome / road record13-12 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.