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Trail Blazers vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, February 22

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · KUNP 16, BlazerVision, NBA League Pass, Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live
39% win PORwin PHX 61%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin3.6
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (33-24) host the Portland Trail Blazers (27-30) on Sunday, February 22 at 8:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Trail Blazers 92 – Suns 77. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Suns are 19-10 at home and the Trail Blazers are 11-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Suns and 4-6 for the Trail Blazers (current streaks: Suns W1, Trail Blazers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Trail Blazers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Suns 116 – 112 Trail Blazers, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Suns played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Trail Blazers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +0.5 / POR -2.5 per game
+2.9
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Back-to-backSuns played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Suns
+3.6

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Trail Blazers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PORPHX
115.2
Points scored / game
113.3
118.1
Points allowed / game
112.8
51.1 %
Field goal %
45.6 %
38.9 %
3-point %
31.9 %
43.7
3-pointers attempted / game
39.7
70.8 %
Free throw %
73.9 %
46.3
Rebounds / game
39.7
30.7
Assists / game
25.3
8.3
Steals / game
8.7
2.7
Blocks / game
5.3
13.3
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

Trail Blazers
Donovan ClinganC · #2323pts / game
Jrue HolidayG · #57assists
Donovan ClinganC · #2313rebounds
Suns
Collin GillespieG · #1218pts / game
Amir CoffeyG · #24assists
Khaman MaluachC · #107rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
POR
No games played yet.
PHX
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PORPHX
27-30Record33-24
115.2Points scored / game113.3
118.1Points allowed / game112.8
-2.5Adjusted margin / game+0.5
L1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
11-16 roadHome / road record19-10 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season36-46 (-3.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Portland Trail Blazers Injury report Trail Blazers

No injuries reported.

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.