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Spurs vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, June 10

FinalMadison Square Garden · ABC
41% win SAwin NY 59%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin2.8
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (68-32) host the San Antonio Spurs (75-29) on Wednesday, June 10 at 8:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 106 – Knicks 107. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 37-12 at home and the Spurs are 37-16 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 9-1 for the Knicks and 5-5 for the Spurs (current streaks: Knicks L1, Spurs W1).

The analysis Model

The Knicks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Knicks 115 – 112 Spurs, a margin of about 2.8 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +6.5 / SA +6.0 per game
+0.5
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+2.8

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Spurs win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

SANY
118.1
Points scored / game
116.6
111.0
Points allowed / game
109.0
46.0 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
28.2
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
6.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #124pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #113rebounds
Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1136pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SANY
75-29Record68-32
118.1Points scored / game116.6
111.0Points allowed / game109.0
+6.0Adjusted margin / game+6.5
W1Current streakL1
5-5Last 10 games9-1
37-16 roadHome / road record37-12 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.