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Knicks vs Spurs prediction NBA · Wednesday, December 31

FinalFrost Bank Center · NBA TV, MSG, FanDuel SN SW, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
51% win NYwin SA 49%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin0.2
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (23-10) host the New York Knicks (24-9) on Wednesday, December 31 at 7:00 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 132 – Spurs 134. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 51% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 11-4 at home and the Knicks are 8-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Spurs and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Spurs L2, Knicks W3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 116 – 117 Knicks, a margin of about 0.2 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +2.7 / NY +5.2 per game
-2.5
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
-0.2

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
21%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
22%

Stat comparison Current season

NYSA
119.5
Points scored / game
117.9
113.4
Points allowed / game
114.7
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
45.0
26.8
Assists / game
28.2
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
6.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Knicks
Jalen BrunsonG · #1129pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #118assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #327rebounds
Spurs
Julian ChampagnieF · #3036pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #47assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #113rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYSA
24-9Record23-10
119.5Points scored / game117.9
113.4Points allowed / game114.7
+5.2Adjusted margin / game+2.7
W3Current streakL2
8-2Last 10 games7-3
8-7 roadHome / road record11-4 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.