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Spurs vs Knicks prediction NBA · Sunday, March 1

FinalMadison Square Garden · ABC
41% win SAwin NY 59%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin2.9
Projected total230
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (39-22) host the San Antonio Spurs (43-17) on Sunday, March 1 at 1:00 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Spurs 89 – Knicks 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 59% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 23-8 at home and the Spurs are 22-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Knicks and 10-0 for the Spurs (current streaks: Knicks W1, Spurs W11).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Knicks, but the Spurs have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Knicks 116 – 113 Spurs, a margin of about 2.9 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Spurs need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +4.7 / SA +4.2 per game
+0.6
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+2.9

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
28%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Spurs win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

SANY
117.6
Points scored / game
117.1
112.7
Points allowed / game
111.6
46.0 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
34.6 %
3-point %
35.9 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
78.3 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
45.0
Rebounds / game
48.2
28.2
Assists / game
26.8
9.8
Steals / game
7.2
6.6
Blocks / game
4.4
12.8
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #125pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #46assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #113rebounds
Knicks
Mikal BridgesG · #2525pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #117assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3214rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
SA
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

SANY
43-17Record39-22
117.6Points scored / game117.1
112.7Points allowed / game111.6
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+4.7
W11Current streakW1
10-0Last 10 games6-4
22-11 roadHome / road record23-8 home
34-48 (-2.8)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.