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Knicks vs Spurs prediction NBA · Friday, June 5

FinalFrost Bank Center · ABC
45% win NYwin SA 55%
FavoriteSA
Projected margin1.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The San Antonio Spurs (74-28) host the New York Knicks (67-31) on Friday, June 5 at 8:30 PM ET at Frost Bank Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 105 – Spurs 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Spurs a 55% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Spurs are 38-12 at home and the Knicks are 30-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Spurs and 10-0 for the Knicks (current streaks: Spurs L1, Knicks W12).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Spurs 115 – 113 Knicks, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Spurs and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Spurs
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SA +6.1 / NY +6.6 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageSpurs at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Spurs
+1.7

Scenarios

Spurs win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

NYSA
116.8
Points scored / game
118.2
109.0
Points allowed / game
111.1
42.2 %
Field goal %
46.0 %
35.9 %
3-point %
34.6 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
75.8 %
Free throw %
78.3 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
45.0
26.8
Assists / game
28.2
7.2
Steals / game
9.8
4.4
Blocks / game
6.6
14.8
Turnovers / game
12.8

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3221pts / game
Mikal BridgesG · #256assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3213rebounds
Spurs
Victor WembanyamaF · #129pts / game
De'Aaron FoxG · #45assists
Victor WembanyamaF · #19rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
SA
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYSA
67-31Record74-28
116.8Points scored / game118.2
109.0Points allowed / game111.1
+6.6Adjusted margin / game+6.1
W12Current streakL1
10-0Last 10 games6-4
30-20 roadHome / road record38-12 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season34-48 (-2.8)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

San Antonio Spurs Injury report Spurs

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.