Mavericks vs Bucks prediction NBA · Tuesday, March 31
At a glance
The Milwaukee Bucks (29-45) host the Dallas Mavericks (24-51) on Tuesday, March 31 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 99 – Bucks 123. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 16-21 at home and the Mavericks are 10-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Bucks L4, Mavericks L1).
The analysis Model
The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Bucks 116 – 112 Mavericks, a margin of about 3.6 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Mavericks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
DALMIL
Top performers
Mavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3219pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #94assists
Moussa CisseC · #3013reboundsBucks
Ryan RollinsG · #1324pts / gameRyan RollinsG · #139assists
Ousmane DiengF · #2110reboundsRecent form
DALMIL
MIL
Team comparison
| DAL | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 | Record | 29-45 |
| 113.7 | Points scored / game | 111.1 |
| 118.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.3 |
| -4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -4.4 |
| L1 | Current streak | L4 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 10-27 road | Home / road record | 16-21 home |
| 39-43 (-1.2) | Last season | 48-34 (+2.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Mavericks
Injury report Bucks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.