Bucks vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Monday, November 10
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (3-7) host the Milwaukee Bucks (6-4) on Monday, November 10 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 116 – Mavericks 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 53% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 2-4 at home and the Bucks are 2-2 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 6-4 for the Bucks (current streaks: Mavericks W1, Bucks L1).
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 113 – 114 Bucks, a margin of about 1.0 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-3.2 vs +1.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Bucks' offense (117.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MILDAL
Top performers
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #730pts / game
Ryan RollinsG · #138assistsGiannis AntetokounmpoF · #78reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3226pts / gameCooper FlaggF · #324assistsCooper FlaggF · #329reboundsRecent form
MILDAL
MIL
Team comparison
| MIL | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 3-7 |
| 117.6 | Points scored / game | 110.7 |
| 115.5 | Points allowed / game | 114.4 |
| +1.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -3.2 |
| L1 | Current streak | W1 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 2-2 road | Home / road record | 2-4 home |
| 48-34 (+2.5) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Bucks
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.