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Pistons vs Celtics prediction NBA · Monday, December 15

FinalTD Garden · Peacock, NBC Sports BO, FanDuel SN DET
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
21-5 · away
Final score
112-105
Projected: 112-116
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
15-11 · home
37% win DETwin BOS 63%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin4.0
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (15-10) host the Detroit Pistons (20-5) on Monday, December 15 at 7:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 112 – Celtics 105. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 63% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Celtics are 8-4 at home and the Pistons are 8-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Celtics and 7-3 for the Pistons (current streaks: Celtics L1, Pistons W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Celtics, but the Pistons have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Celtics 116 – 112 Pistons, a margin of about 4.0 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (109.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.8 / DET +4.2 per game
+1.7
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+4.0

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
32%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
13%

Stat comparison Current season

DETBOS
118.3
Points scored / game
116.5
113.4
Points allowed / game
109.6
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
37.9 %
3-point %
38.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
27.0
Assists / game
27.8
8.0
Steals / game
9.0
7.2
Blocks / game
3.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #232pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #210assists
Tobias HarrisF · #237rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #734pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #77assists
Jaylen BrownG · #78rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETBOS
20-5Record15-10
118.3Points scored / game116.5
113.4Points allowed / game109.6
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+5.8
W3Current streakL1
7-3Last 10 games7-3
8-3 roadHome / road record8-4 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.