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Pistons vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 26

FinalTD Garden · ESPN, FanDuel SN DET
Detroit Pistons
Detroit Pistons
15-3 · away
Final score
114-117
Projected: 112-116
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
10-8 · home
38% win DETwin BOS 62%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin3.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Boston Celtics (9-8) host the Detroit Pistons (15-2) on Wednesday, November 26 at 5:00 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Pistons 114 – Celtics 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 62% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 5-4 at home and the Pistons are 7-1 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Celtics and 10-0 for the Pistons (current streaks: Celtics W1, Pistons W13).

The analysis Model

The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Celtics 116 – 112 Pistons, a margin of about 3.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Pistons need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.8 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Celtics
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BOS +5.5 / DET +4.2 per game
+1.4
Home-court advantageCeltics at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Celtics
+3.7

Scenarios

Celtics win by 10+
31%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Pistons win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

DETBOS
117.9
Points scored / game
115.3
113.0
Points allowed / game
108.8
45.9 %
Field goal %
46.5 %
37.9 %
3-point %
38.6 %
36.4
3-pointers attempted / game
41.5
74.4 %
Free throw %
76.0 %
46.8
Rebounds / game
44.3
27.0
Assists / game
27.8
8.0
Steals / game
9.0
7.2
Blocks / game
3.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Pistons
Cade CunninghamG · #242pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #25assists
Jalen DurenC · #016rebounds
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #733pts / game
Jaylen BrownG · #75assists
Jaylen BrownG · #710rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DET
No games played yet.
BOS
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DETBOS
15-2Record9-8
117.9Points scored / game115.3
113.0Points allowed / game108.8
+4.2Adjusted margin / game+5.5
W13Current streakW1
10-0Last 10 games6-4
7-1 roadHome / road record5-4 home
44-38 (+1.9)Last season61-21 (+9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.