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Celtics vs Pistons prediction NBA · Monday, January 19

FinalLittle Caesars Arena · NBC, Peacock
46% win BOSwin DET 54%
FavoriteDET
Projected margin1.2
Projected total227
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Detroit Pistons (30-10) host the Boston Celtics (26-15) on Monday, January 19 at 8:00 PM ET at Little Caesars Arena in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 103 – Pistons 104. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Pistons a 54% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pistons are 17-4 at home and the Celtics are 14-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Pistons and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Pistons W2, Celtics W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pistons 114 – 113 Celtics, a margin of about 1.2 points in favor of the Pistons and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Celtics need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pistons
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DET +5.2 / BOS +6.3 per game
-1.1
Home-court advantagePistons at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pistons
+1.2

Scenarios

Pistons win by 10+
24%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

BOSDET
116.9
Points scored / game
117.2
109.5
Points allowed / game
111.0
46.5 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
38.6 %
3-point %
37.9 %
41.5
3-pointers attempted / game
36.4
76.0 %
Free throw %
74.4 %
44.3
Rebounds / game
46.8
27.8
Assists / game
27.0
9.0
Steals / game
8.0
3.8
Blocks / game
7.2
15.5
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #732pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #95assists
Jaylen BrownG · #711rebounds
Pistons
Tobias HarrisF · #2325pts / game
Cade CunninghamG · #214assists
Jalen DurenC · #09rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOS
No games played yet.
DET
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BOSDET
26-15Record30-10
116.9Points scored / game117.2
109.5Points allowed / game111.0
+6.3Adjusted margin / game+5.2
W2Current streakW2
7-3Last 10 games6-4
14-8 roadHome / road record17-4 home
61-21 (+9.1)Last season44-38 (+1.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Boston Celtics Injury report Celtics

No injuries reported.

Detroit Pistons Injury report Pistons

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.