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Bucks vs Nets prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalBarclays Center · FanDuel SN WI, DAZN (YES)
61% win MILwin BKN 39%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin3.5
Projected total227
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (6-18) host the Milwaukee Bucks (11-15) on Sunday, December 14 at 6:00 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 82 – Nets 127. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 61% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Nets are 2-10 at home and the Bucks are 3-8 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Nets and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: Nets L1, Bucks W1).

The analysis Model

The Bucks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Nets 112 – 115 Bucks, a margin of about 3.5 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-6.4 vs -0.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (115.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -6.4 / MIL -0.6 per game
-5.8
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-3.5

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
14%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Bucks win by 10+
30%

Stat comparison Current season

MILBKN
115.2
Points scored / game
108.0
116.0
Points allowed / game
115.6
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
34.0 %
3-point %
36.7 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
71.6 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
43.5
24.6
Assists / game
24.0
5.8
Steals / game
10.0
4.0
Blocks / game
4.0
16.8
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Bucks
Gary Trent Jr.G · #520pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #77assists
Kyle KuzmaF · #187rebounds
Nets
Egor DeminG · #817pts / game
Michael Porter Jr.F · #175assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #208rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILBKN
11-15Record6-18
115.2Points scored / game108.0
116.0Points allowed / game115.6
-0.6Adjusted margin / game-6.4
W1Current streakL1
3-7Last 10 games4-6
3-8 roadHome / road record2-10 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.