Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Nets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Saturday, November 29

FinalFiserv Forum · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), FanDuel SN WI
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
3-16 · away
Final score
99-116
Projected: 109-118
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
9-12 · home
23% win BKNwin MIL 77%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin9.2
Projected total226
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (8-12) host the Brooklyn Nets (3-15) on Saturday, November 29 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Nets 99 – Bucks 116. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 77% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 5-6 at home and the Nets are 3-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 2-8 for the Nets (current streaks: Bucks L7, Nets L3).

The analysis Model

The Bucks start with a clear edge. The model projects Bucks 118 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 9.2 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Bucks and the Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-0.9 vs -7.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (115.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -0.9 / BKN -7.8 per game
+6.9
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bucks
+9.2

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
48%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Nets win by 10+
6%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNMIL
107.4
Points scored / game
115.5
116.6
Points allowed / game
116.5
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.0 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.0
Assists / game
24.6
10.0
Steals / game
5.8
4.0
Blocks / game
4.0
17.5
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Nets
Danny WolfF · #222pts / game
Ben SarafG · #777assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #207rebounds
Bucks
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #729pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #76assists
Giannis AntetokounmpoF · #78rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNMIL
3-15Record8-12
107.4Points scored / game115.5
116.6Points allowed / game116.5
-7.8Adjusted margin / game-0.9
L3Current streakL7
2-8Last 10 games2-8
3-6 roadHome / road record5-6 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.