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Nets vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, WLNY, NBA League Pass
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
20-61 · away
Final score
108-125
Projected: 108-115
Milwaukee Bucks
Milwaukee Bucks
32-49 · home
28% win BKNwin MIL 72%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin7.4
Projected total223
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (31-49) host the Brooklyn Nets (20-60) on Friday, April 10 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: Nets 108 – Bucks 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bucks are 18-22 at home and the Nets are 8-31 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 3-7 for the Nets (current streaks: Bucks L2, Nets L1).

The analysis Model

The Bucks start with a clear edge. The model projects Bucks 115 – 108 Nets, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bucks' offense (111.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -4.4 / BKN -7.9 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Bucks
+7.4

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
42%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
26%
Nets win by 10+
8%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNMIL
105.9
Points scored / game
111.2
115.1
Points allowed / game
116.3
42.9 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.0 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.0
Assists / game
24.6
10.0
Steals / game
5.8
4.0
Blocks / game
4.0
17.5
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

Nets
Tyson EtienneG · #1023pts / game
Malachi SmithG · #1810assists
Malachi SmithG · #188rebounds
Bucks
AJ GreenG · #2035pts / game
Ousmane DiengF · #2112assists
Taurean PrinceF · #1210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNMIL
20-60Record31-49
105.9Points scored / game111.2
115.1Points allowed / game116.3
-7.9Adjusted margin / game-4.4
L1Current streakL2
3-7Last 10 games2-8
8-31 roadHome / road record18-22 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.