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Hornets vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalRocket Arena · FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SE
18% win CHAwin CLE 82%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin11.5
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (15-11) host the Charlotte Hornets (7-18) on Sunday, December 14 at 3:30 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 119 – Cavaliers 111. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 82% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Cavaliers are 9-6 at home and the Hornets are 2-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Cavaliers and 3-7 for the Hornets (current streaks: Cavaliers W1, Hornets L2).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 122 – 110 Hornets, a margin of about 11.5 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+4.4 vs -4.8 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +4.4 / CHA -4.8 per game
+9.2
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+11.5

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
55%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Hornets win by 10+
4%

Stat comparison Current season

CHACLE
111.6
Points scored / game
119.9
117.3
Points allowed / game
114.7
41.7 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
85.2 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
47.0
20.6
Assists / game
26.3
6.8
Steals / game
8.8
5.2
Blocks / game
7.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Hornets
Kon KnueppelG · #729pts / game
Brandon MillerF · #246assists
Brandon MillerF · #2413rebounds
Cavaliers
Darius GarlandG · #1026pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #109assists
Jaylon TysonG · #2013rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHACLE
7-18Record15-11
111.6Points scored / game119.9
117.3Points allowed / game114.7
-4.8Adjusted margin / game+4.4
L2Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
2-10 roadHome / road record9-6 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.