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Hornets vs Cavaliers prediction NBA · Monday, December 22

FinalRocket Arena · Peacock, FanDuel SN OH
20% win CHAwin CLE 80%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin10.4
Projected total232
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Cleveland Cavaliers (15-14) host the Charlotte Hornets (9-19) on Monday, December 22 at 7:00 PM ET at Rocket Arena in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 132 – Cavaliers 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 80% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Cavaliers are 9-8 at home and the Hornets are 3-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Cavaliers and 5-5 for the Hornets (current streaks: Cavaliers L3, Hornets L1).

The analysis Model

On paper, the Cavaliers dominate this matchup. The model projects Cavaliers 121 – 111 Hornets, a margin of about 10.4 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 232 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (+3.4 vs -4.7 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (119.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Cavaliers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CLE +3.4 / CHA -4.7 per game
+8.1
Home-court advantageCavaliers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Cavaliers
+10.4

Scenarios

Cavaliers win by 10+
51%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
22%
Hornets win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

CHACLE
111.7
Points scored / game
119.6
117.2
Points allowed / game
115.7
41.7 %
Field goal %
46.8 %
30.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.5
85.2 %
Free throw %
79.3 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
47.0
20.6
Assists / game
26.3
6.8
Steals / game
8.8
5.2
Blocks / game
7.5
19.0
Turnovers / game
17.3

Top performers

Hornets
LaMelo BallG · #123pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #19assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1414rebounds
Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4530pts / game
Darius GarlandG · #1010assists
Dean WadeF · #457rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
CLE
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CHACLE
9-19Record15-14
111.7Points scored / game119.6
117.2Points allowed / game115.7
-4.7Adjusted margin / game+3.4
L1Current streakL3
5-5Last 10 games3-7
3-11 roadHome / road record9-8 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season64-18 (+9.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.