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Cavaliers vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21

FinalSpectrum Center · ESPN, FanDuel SN OH, FanDuel SN SE
57% win CLEwin CHA 43%
FavoriteCLE
Projected margin2.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Charlotte Hornets (16-27) host the Cleveland Cavaliers (24-20) on Wednesday, January 21 at 7:00 PM ET at Spectrum Center in NBA action. Final score: Cavaliers 94 – Hornets 87. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Cavaliers a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hornets are 7-12 at home and the Cavaliers are 10-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hornets and 6-4 for the Cavaliers (current streaks: Hornets W1, Cavaliers L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Hornets 115 – 118 Cavaliers, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Cavaliers and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The overall strength gap (-1.7 vs +2.9 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Cavaliers' offense (120.1 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -1.7 / CLE +2.9 per game
-4.6
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-2.3

Scenarios

Hornets win by 10+
16%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Cavaliers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

CLECHA
120.1
Points scored / game
113.9
116.7
Points allowed / game
115.9
46.8 %
Field goal %
41.7 %
36.7 %
3-point %
30.6 %
37.5
3-pointers attempted / game
43.2
79.3 %
Free throw %
85.2 %
47.0
Rebounds / game
47.4
26.3
Assists / game
20.6
8.8
Steals / game
6.8
7.5
Blocks / game
5.2
17.3
Turnovers / game
19.0

Top performers

Cavaliers
Donovan MitchellG · #4524pts / game
Donovan MitchellG · #456assists
Evan MobleyC · #414rebounds
Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2424pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #17assists
Kon KnueppelG · #711rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CLE
No games played yet.
CHA
No games played yet.

Team comparison

CLECHA
24-20Record16-27
120.1Points scored / game113.9
116.7Points allowed / game115.9
+2.9Adjusted margin / game-1.7
L1Current streakW1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
10-9 roadHome / road record7-12 home
64-18 (+9.5)Last season19-63 (-9.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Cleveland Cavaliers Injury report Cavaliers

No injuries reported.

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.