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76ers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Sunday, December 14

FinalState Farm Arena · FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports Phil
39% win PHIwin ATL 61%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin3.4
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (14-12) host the Philadelphia 76ers (14-10) on Sunday, December 14 at 6:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 117 – Hawks 120. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 61% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 4-6 at home and the 76ers are 6-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Hawks and 6-4 for the 76ers (current streaks: Hawks L1, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 118 – 115 76ers, a margin of about 3.4 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Hawks' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL -0.0 / PHI -1.1 per game
+1.1
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+3.4

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIATL
114.4
Points scored / game
118.0
115.7
Points allowed / game
118.0
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
34.8 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
77.5 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
41.4
24.6
Assists / game
32.2
9.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.6
Blocks / game
3.6
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

76ers
Paul GeorgeF · #1335pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #57assists
Joel EmbiidC · #2114rebounds
Hawks
Dyson DanielsG · #527pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #112assists
Onyeka OkongwuF · #1715rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIATL
14-10Record14-12
114.4Points scored / game118.0
115.7Points allowed / game118.0
-1.1Adjusted margin / game-0.0
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games5-5
6-3 roadHome / road record4-6 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.