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76ers vs Hawks prediction NBA · Saturday, March 7

FinalState Farm Arena · NBA TV, FanDuel SN SE, NBC Sports Phil +
40% win PHIwin ATL 60%
FavoriteATL
Projected margin3.3
Projected total233
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Atlanta Hawks (32-31) host the Philadelphia 76ers (34-28) on Saturday, March 7 at 6:00 PM ET at State Farm Arena in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 116 – Hawks 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Hawks a 60% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Hawks are 14-16 at home and the 76ers are 17-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Hawks and 4-6 for the 76ers (current streaks: Hawks W5, 76ers W1).

The analysis Model

The Hawks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Hawks 118 – 115 76ers, a margin of about 3.3 points in favor of the Hawks and a total around 233 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Hawks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)ATL +0.1 / PHI -1.0 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantageHawks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hawks
+3.3

Scenarios

Hawks win by 10+
30%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
76ers win by 10+
14%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIATL
114.8
Points scored / game
117.7
115.9
Points allowed / game
117.6
42.8 %
Field goal %
46.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
34.8 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.4
77.5 %
Free throw %
72.8 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
41.4
24.6
Assists / game
32.2
9.8
Steals / game
10.2
5.6
Blocks / game
3.6
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.0

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #031pts / game
Cameron PaynePG · #206assists
Adem BonaC · #307rebounds
Hawks
Jalen JohnsonF · #135pts / game
Jalen JohnsonF · #17assists
Jalen JohnsonF · #110rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
ATL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIATL
34-28Record32-31
114.8Points scored / game117.7
115.9Points allowed / game117.6
-1.0Adjusted margin / game+0.1
W1Current streakW5
4-6Last 10 games6-4
17-12 roadHome / road record14-16 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season40-42 (-1.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Atlanta Hawks Injury report Hawks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.