Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Nets vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Friday, December 12

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · KFAA-TV, DAZN (YES)
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
6-18 · away
Final score
111-119
Projected: 110-116
Dallas Mavericks
Dallas Mavericks
10-16 · home
32% win BKNwin DAL 68%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin5.9
Projected total226
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Dallas Mavericks (9-16) host the Brooklyn Nets (6-17) on Friday, December 12 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 111 – Mavericks 119. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 6-9 at home and the Nets are 4-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Mavericks and 4-6 for the Nets (current streaks: Mavericks W1, Nets W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Mavericks, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Mavericks 116 – 110 Nets, a margin of about 5.9 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Mavericks' offense (112.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Mavericks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DAL -2.8 / BKN -6.4 per game
+3.6
Home-court advantageMavericks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Mavericks
+5.9

Scenarios

Mavericks win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Nets win by 10+
10%

Stat comparison Current season

BKNDAL
108.0
Points scored / game
112.6
115.5
Points allowed / game
115.9
42.9 %
Field goal %
49.0 %
36.7 %
3-point %
34.6 %
42.3
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
76.6 %
Free throw %
76.7 %
43.5
Rebounds / game
44.2
24.0
Assists / game
27.6
10.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.0
Blocks / game
7.4
17.5
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1734pts / game
Terance MannG · #147assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #910rebounds
Mavericks
Anthony DavisF · #2324pts / game
Cooper FlaggF · #328assists
Anthony DavisF · #2314rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKN
No games played yet.
DAL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

BKNDAL
6-17Record9-16
108.0Points scored / game112.6
115.5Points allowed / game115.9
-6.4Adjusted margin / game-2.8
W1Current streakW1
4-6Last 10 games5-5
4-7 roadHome / road record6-9 home
26-56 (-7.1)Last season39-43 (-1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.