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Mavericks vs Nets prediction NBA · Tuesday, February 24

FinalBarclays Center · KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBA League Pass, YES, DAZN (YES)
55% win DALwin BKN 45%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin1.7
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (15-41) host the Dallas Mavericks (20-36) on Tuesday, February 24 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 123 – Nets 114. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 8-19 at home and the Mavericks are 6-20 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Nets and 1-9 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Nets L4, Mavericks W1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Nets 112 – 114 Mavericks, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Mavericks' offense (114.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (114.3 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -6.6 / DAL -2.6 per game
-4.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Nets
-1.7

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Mavericks win by 10+
25%

Stat comparison Current season

DALBKN
114.2
Points scored / game
106.5
117.3
Points allowed / game
114.3
49.0 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
34.6 %
3-point %
36.7 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
76.7 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
43.5
27.6
Assists / game
24.0
9.0
Steals / game
10.0
7.4
Blocks / game
4.0
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Mavericks
Marvin Bagley IIIF · #322pts / game
Brandon WilliamsG · #1210assists
Max ChristieG · #07rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1726pts / game
Nic ClaxtonC · #99assists
Noah ClowneyF · #215rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Team comparison

DALBKN
20-36Record15-41
114.2Points scored / game106.5
117.3Points allowed / game114.3
-2.6Adjusted margin / game-6.6
W1Current streakL4
1-9Last 10 games3-7
6-20 roadHome / road record8-19 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.