Nets vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Monday, January 12
At a glance
The Dallas Mavericks (14-25) host the Brooklyn Nets (11-25) on Monday, January 12 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 105 – Mavericks 113. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 10-10 at home and the Nets are 6-10 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Mavericks and 4-6 for the Nets (current streaks: Mavericks L2, Nets L3).
The analysis Model
The Mavericks are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Mavericks 115 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Mavericks' offense (113.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.5 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BKNDAL
Top performers
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1728pts / game
Nolan TraoreG · #106assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #2012reboundsMavericks
Cooper FlaggF · #3227pts / game
Naji MarshallF · #39assists
Dwight PowellF · #710reboundsRecent form
BKNDALHead-to-head
DAL lead 3-0 this season.
BKN
Team comparison
| BKN | DAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-25 | Record | 14-25 |
| 107.9 | Points scored / game | 113.3 |
| 113.5 | Points allowed / game | 116.7 |
| -4.7 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.9 |
| L3 | Current streak | L2 |
| 4-6 | Last 10 games | 3-7 |
| 6-10 road | Home / road record | 10-10 home |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 39-43 (-1.2) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
Injury report Mavericks
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.