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Clippers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Thursday, December 11

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, FanDuel SN SoCal
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
6-19 · away
Final score
113-115
Projected: 108-119
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
16-6 · home
19% win LACwin HOU 81%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin11.0
Projected total227
ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (15-6) host the LA Clippers (6-18) on Thursday, December 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 113 – Rockets 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 81% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Rockets are 7-2 at home and the Clippers are 3-11 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 2-8 for the Clippers (current streaks: Rockets L1, Clippers L2).

The analysis Model

The Rockets start with a clear edge. The model projects Rockets 119 – 108 Clippers, a margin of about 11.0 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (+7.1 vs -1.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (118.5 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Rockets' defense allows clearly fewer points (110.1 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +7.1 / LAC -1.6 per game
+8.7
Home-court advantageRockets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Rockets
+11.0

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+
53%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
21%
Clippers win by 10+
5%

Stat comparison Current season

LACHOU
112.0
Points scored / game
118.5
113.9
Points allowed / game
110.1
45.9 %
Field goal %
51.7 %
39.0 %
3-point %
40.4 %
35.3
3-pointers attempted / game
32.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
84.7 %
40.8
Rebounds / game
44.8
25.0
Assists / game
28.2
12.5
Steals / game
10.2
4.5
Blocks / game
6.0
23.0
Turnovers / game
15.8

Top performers

Clippers
Ivica ZubacC · #4033pts / game
James HardenG · #17assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #29rebounds
Rockets
Alperen SengunC · #2822pts / game
Amen ThompsonG · #18assists
Alperen SengunC · #2815rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
LAC
No games played yet.
HOU
No games played yet.

Team comparison

LACHOU
6-18Record15-6
112.0Points scored / game118.5
113.9Points allowed / game110.1
-1.6Adjusted margin / game+7.1
L2Current streakL1
2-8Last 10 games7-3
3-11 roadHome / road record7-2 home
50-32 (+4.7)Last season52-30 (+4.5)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.