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Rockets vs Clippers prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalIntuit Dome · NBC, Peacock, Space City Home Network
Houston Rockets
Houston Rockets
17-10 · away
Final score
108-128
Projected: 117-111
LA Clippers
LA Clippers
8-21 · home
69% win HOUwin LAC 31%
FavoriteHOU
Projected margin6.1
Projected total228
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The LA Clippers (7-21) host the Houston Rockets (17-9) on Tuesday, December 23 at 10:30 PM ET at Intuit Dome in NBA action. Final score: Rockets 108 – Clippers 128. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Clippers are 4-8 at home and the Rockets are 9-7 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Clippers and 5-5 for the Rockets (current streaks: Clippers W1, Rockets L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Clippers 111 – 117 Rockets, a margin of about 6.1 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The overall strength gap (-2.0 vs +6.4 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Rockets' offense (118.9 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Clippers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)LAC -2.0 / HOU +6.4 per game
-8.4
Home-court advantageClippers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Clippers
-6.1

Scenarios

Clippers win by 10+
10%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Rockets win by 10+
38%

Stat comparison Current season

HOULAC
118.9
Points scored / game
111.3
111.4
Points allowed / game
113.7
51.7 %
Field goal %
45.9 %
40.4 %
3-point %
39.0 %
32.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.3
84.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
40.8
28.2
Assists / game
25.0
10.2
Steals / game
12.5
6.0
Blocks / game
4.5
15.8
Turnovers / game
23.0

Top performers

Rockets
Kevin DurantF · #722pts / game
Alperen SengunC · #287assists
Alperen SengunC · #2811rebounds
Clippers
Kawhi LeonardF · #241pts / game
James HardenG · #16assists
Kawhi LeonardF · #28rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
HOU
No games played yet.
LAC
No games played yet.

Team comparison

HOULAC
17-9Record7-21
118.9Points scored / game111.3
111.4Points allowed / game113.7
+6.4Adjusted margin / game-2.0
L1Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games2-8
9-7 roadHome / road record4-8 home
52-30 (+4.5)Last season50-32 (+4.7)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Houston Rockets Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

LA Clippers Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.