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Clippers vs Rockets prediction NBA · Wednesday, February 11

FinalToyota Center (Houston) · Space City Home Network, FanDuel SN SoCal, NBA League Pass

LA Clippers

26-28 · away

Final score

105-102

Projected: 108-114

Houston Rockets

33-20 · home

31% win LACwin HOU 69%

FavoriteHOU

Projected margin6.2

Projected total223

ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Houston Rockets (33-19) host the LA Clippers (25-28) on Wednesday, February 11 at 8:00 PM ET at Toyota Center (Houston) in NBA action. Final score: Clippers 105 – Rockets 102. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Rockets a 69% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Rockets are 18-6 at home and the Clippers are 12-17 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 7-3 for the Rockets and 6-4 for the Clippers (current streaks: Rockets W2, Clippers L1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Rockets, but the Clippers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Rockets 114 – 108 Clippers, a margin of about 6.2 points in favor of the Rockets and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Rockets and the Clippers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

The Clippers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Rockets

Team strength (adjusted point differential)HOU +4.3 / LAC +0.4 per game

+3.9

Home-court advantageRockets at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Rockets

+6.2

Scenarios

Rockets win by 10+

38%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

28%

Clippers win by 10+

10%

Stat comparison Current season

LACHOU

112.2

Points scored / game

114.8

111.7

Points allowed / game

109.7

45.9 %

Field goal %

51.7 %

39.0 %

3-point %

40.4 %

35.3

3-pointers attempted / game

32.2

78.6 %

Free throw %

84.7 %

40.8

Rebounds / game

44.8

25.0

Assists / game

28.2

12.5

Steals / game

10.2

4.5

Blocks / game

6.0

23.0

Turnovers / game

15.8

Top performers

Clippers

Kawhi LeonardF · #227pts / game

Kris DunnG · #86assists

Kawhi LeonardF · #212rebounds

Rockets

Kevin DurantF · #721pts / game

Kevin DurantF · #76assists

Jabari Smith Jr.F · #1012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

LAC

No games played yet.

HOU

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 2-2 this season.

Team comparison

LAC		HOU
25-28	Record	33-19
112.2	Points scored / game	114.8
111.7	Points allowed / game	109.7
+0.4	Adjusted margin / game	+4.3
L1	Current streak	W2
6-4	Last 10 games	7-3
12-17 road	Home / road record	18-6 home
50-32 (+4.7)	Last season	52-30 (+4.5)
Yes	Played yesterday	Yes

Injury report Clippers

No injuries reported.

Injury report Rockets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.