Grizzlies vs Hornets prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 15
FinalFirst Horizon Coliseum · NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
78% win MEMwin CHA 22%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin9.6
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Charlotte Hornets host the Memphis Grizzlies on Wednesday, October 15 at 7:00 PM ET at First Horizon Coliseum in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 116 – Hornets 145. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 78% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
The Grizzlies start with a clear edge. The model projects Hornets 110 – 119 Grizzlies, a margin of about 9.6 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (-7.7 vs +4.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (121.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Hornets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHA -7.7 / MEM +4.1 per game
-11.9
Home-court advantageHornets at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Hornets
-9.6
Scenarios
Hornets win by 10+
6%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
24%
Grizzlies win by 10+
49%
Stat comparison Current season
MEMCHA
121.7105.1
116.9114.2
45.3 %41.7 %
39.1 %30.6 %
37.843.2
82.8 %85.2 %
50.047.4
25.020.6
6.36.8
6.35.2
15.519.0
Top performers
Grizzlies
Javon SmallG · #1018pts / gameJavon SmallG · #108assists
Santi AldamaF · #346reboundsHornets
Miles BridgesF · #2229pts / game
LaMelo BallG · #18assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1413reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MEMNo games played yet.
CHANo games played yet.
CHA
Team comparison
| MEM | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | Record | 2-2 |
| 121.7 | Points scored / game | 105.1 |
| 116.9 | Points allowed / game | 114.2 |
| +4.1 | Adjusted margin / game | -7.7 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 19-63 (-9.1) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Grizzlies
No injuries reported.
Injury report Hornets
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.