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Hornets vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 28

FinalFedExForum · FanDuel SN SE, NBA League Pass
40% win CHAwin MEM 60%
FavoriteMEM
Projected margin3.0
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Memphis Grizzlies (18-26) host the Charlotte Hornets (19-28) on Wednesday, January 28 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Hornets 112 – Grizzlies 97. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Grizzlies a 60% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Grizzlies are 10-13 at home and the Hornets are 10-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 3-7 for the Grizzlies and 6-4 for the Hornets (current streaks: Grizzlies L3, Hornets W3).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Grizzlies, but the Hornets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Grizzlies 117 – 114 Hornets, a margin of about 3.0 points in favor of the Grizzlies and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Hornets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +0.0 / CHA -0.7 per game
+0.7
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
+3.0

Scenarios

Grizzlies win by 10+
29%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
30%
Hornets win by 10+
15%

Stat comparison Current season

CHAMEM
114.0
Points scored / game
116.6
114.8
Points allowed / game
116.5
41.7 %
Field goal %
45.3 %
30.6 %
3-point %
39.1 %
43.2
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
85.2 %
Free throw %
82.8 %
47.4
Rebounds / game
50.0
20.6
Assists / game
25.0
6.8
Steals / game
6.3
5.2
Blocks / game
6.3
19.0
Turnovers / game
15.5

Top performers

Hornets
Brandon MillerF · #2426pts / game
Kon KnueppelG · #76assists
Moussa DiabateF · #1419rebounds
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2026pts / game
Cam SpencerG · #246assists
John KoncharG · #556rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHA
No games played yet.
MEM
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

CHA lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

CHAMEM
19-28Record18-26
114.0Points scored / game116.6
114.8Points allowed / game116.5
-0.7Adjusted margin / game+0.0
W3Current streakL3
6-4Last 10 games3-7
10-15 roadHome / road record10-13 home
19-63 (-9.1)Last season48-34 (+4.9)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Charlotte Hornets Injury report Hornets

No injuries reported.

Memphis Grizzlies Injury report Grizzlies

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.