Nets vs Suns prediction NBA · Sunday, October 12
FinalVenetian Arena · NBA TV, AZ Family Sports Net
32% win BKNwin PHX 68%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin5.8
Projected total224
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Phoenix Suns host the Brooklyn Nets on Sunday, October 12 at 7:00 AM ET at Venetian Arena in NBA action. Final score: Nets 111 – Suns 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 68% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
The Suns are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Suns 115 – 109 Nets, a margin of about 5.8 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Suns' offense (113.6 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Nets' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Suns
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX -2.5 / BKN -6.0 per game
+3.5
Home-court advantageSuns at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Suns
+5.8
Scenarios
Suns win by 10+
37%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Nets win by 10+
10%
Stat comparison Current season
BKNPHX
105.1113.6
112.2116.6
42.9 %45.6 %
36.7 %31.9 %
42.339.7
76.6 %73.9 %
43.539.7
24.025.3
10.08.7
4.05.3
17.514.0
Top performers
Nets
Cam ThomasG · #2416pts / game
Ben SarafG · #7711assists
Day'Ron SharpeC · #207reboundsSuns
Devin BookerG · #1518pts / gameDevin BookerG · #155assistsDevin BookerG · #155reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BKNNo games played yet.
PHXNo games played yet.
PHX
Team comparison
| BKN | PHX | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 2-1 |
| 105.1 | Points scored / game | 113.6 |
| 112.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.6 |
| -6.0 | Adjusted margin / game | -2.5 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 26-56 (-7.1) | Last season | 36-46 (-3.0) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Nets
No injuries reported.
Injury report Suns
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.