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Nets vs Suns prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 27

FinalMortgage Matchup Center · YES, NBA League Pass, DAZN (YES), Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live

Brooklyn Nets

12-33 · away

Final score

102-106

Projected: 107-117

Phoenix Suns

28-19 · home

22% win BKNwin PHX 78%

FavoritePHX

Projected margin9.5

Projected total224

ConfidenceHigh

At a glance

The Phoenix Suns (27-19) host the Brooklyn Nets (12-32) on Tuesday, January 27 at 9:00 PM ET at Mortgage Matchup Center in NBA action. Final score: Nets 102 – Suns 106. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 78% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Suns are 14-6 at home and the Nets are 6-15 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Suns and 1-9 for the Nets (current streaks: Suns L2, Nets L5).

The analysis Model

The Suns start with a clear edge. The model projects Suns 117 – 107 Nets, a margin of about 9.5 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 224 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -6.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
The Suns' offense (114.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Suns

Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHX +1.1 / BKN -6.1 per game

+7.2

Home-court advantageSuns at home

+2.3

Expected marginfor Suns

+9.5

Scenarios

Suns win by 10+

48%

Close game (margin ≤ 5)

24%

Nets win by 10+

Stat comparison Current season

BKNPHX

107.3

Points scored / game

114.0

114.5

Points allowed / game

112.8

42.9 %

Field goal %

45.6 %

36.7 %

3-point %

31.9 %

42.3

3-pointers attempted / game

39.7

76.6 %

Free throw %

73.9 %

43.5

Rebounds / game

39.7

24.0

Assists / game

25.3

10.0

Steals / game

8.7

4.0

Blocks / game

5.3

17.5

Turnovers / game

14.0

Top performers

Nets

Michael Porter Jr.F · #1736pts / game

Nic ClaxtonC · #98assists

Day'Ron SharpeC · #207rebounds

Suns

Mark WilliamsC · #2527pts / game

Grayson AllenG · #86assists

Jordan GoodwinG · #239rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)

BKN

No games played yet.

PHX

No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

BKN		PHX
12-32	Record	27-19
107.3	Points scored / game	114.0
114.5	Points allowed / game	112.8
-6.1	Adjusted margin / game	+1.1
L5	Current streak	L2
1-9	Last 10 games	6-4
6-15 road	Home / road record	14-6 home
26-56 (-7.1)	Last season	36-46 (-3.0)
No	Played yesterday	No

Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.