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Suns vs Nets prediction NBA · Monday, January 19

FinalBarclays Center · YES, DAZN (YES), Arizona's Family 3TV, Suns Live, NBA League Pass
Phoenix Suns
Phoenix Suns
26-17 · away
Final score
126-117
Projected: 114-109
Brooklyn Nets
Brooklyn Nets
12-29 · home
66% win PHXwin BKN 34%
FavoritePHX
Projected margin5.3
Projected total223
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Brooklyn Nets (12-28) host the Phoenix Suns (25-17) on Monday, January 19 at 7:30 PM ET at Barclays Center in NBA action. Final score: Suns 126 – Nets 117. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Suns a 66% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Nets are 6-15 at home and the Suns are 11-12 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Nets and 6-4 for the Suns (current streaks: Nets L1, Suns W1).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Suns, but the Nets have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Nets 109 – 114 Suns, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Suns and a total around 223 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Nets played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-4.8 vs +1.2 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Nets need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Suns' offense (114.2 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Nets
Team strength (adjusted point differential)BKN -4.8 / PHX +1.2 per game
-6.0
Home-court advantageNets at home
+2.3
Back-to-backNets played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor Nets
-5.3

Scenarios

Nets win by 10+
11%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
Suns win by 10+
35%

Stat comparison Current season

PHXBKN
114.2
Points scored / game
107.9
112.8
Points allowed / game
113.6
45.6 %
Field goal %
42.9 %
31.9 %
3-point %
36.7 %
39.7
3-pointers attempted / game
42.3
73.9 %
Free throw %
76.6 %
39.7
Rebounds / game
43.5
25.3
Assists / game
24.0
8.7
Steals / game
10.0
5.3
Blocks / game
4.0
14.0
Turnovers / game
17.5

Top performers

Suns
Dillon BrooksF · #327pts / game
Grayson AllenG · #88assists
Mark WilliamsC · #258rebounds
Nets
Michael Porter Jr.F · #1723pts / game
Terance MannG · #148assists
Nic ClaxtonC · #98rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHX
No games played yet.
BKN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

PHX lead 2-0 this season.

Team comparison

PHXBKN
25-17Record12-28
114.2Points scored / game107.9
112.8Points allowed / game113.6
+1.2Adjusted margin / game-4.8
W1Current streakL1
6-4Last 10 games2-8
11-12 roadHome / road record6-15 home
36-46 (-3.0)Last season26-56 (-7.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Phoenix Suns Injury report Suns

No injuries reported.

Brooklyn Nets Injury report Nets

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.