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Timberwolves vs Knicks prediction NBA · Thursday, October 9

FinalMadison Square Garden · MSG2, NBA TV
45% win MINwin NY 55%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin1.5
Projected total226
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks host the Minnesota Timberwolves on Thursday, October 9 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 95 – Knicks 100. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 55% chance to win: prediction correct.

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Knicks 114 – 112 Timberwolves, a margin of about 1.5 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 226 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.5 / MIN +4.3 per game
-0.8
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+1.5

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
18%

Stat comparison Current season

MINNY
114.3
Points scored / game
115.8
109.3
Points allowed / game
111.7
47.3 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
38.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
9.2
Steals / game
7.2
4.4
Blocks / game
4.4
16.2
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #517pts / game
Rob DillinghamG · #75assists
Rudy GobertC · #2711rebounds
Knicks
Mikal BridgesG · #2515pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #113assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3211rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MINNY
1-2Record3-0
114.3Points scored / game115.8
109.3Points allowed / game111.7
+4.3Adjusted margin / game+3.5
–Current streak–
–Last 10 games–
–Home / road record–
49-33 (+5.0)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.