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Timberwolves vs Knicks prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 5

FinalMadison Square Garden · ESPN, FanDuel SN North, DAZN (MSG)
43% win MINwin NY 57%
FavoriteNY
Projected margin2.3
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The New York Knicks (4-3) host the Minnesota Timberwolves (4-3) on Wednesday, November 5 at 7:30 PM ET at Madison Square Garden in NBA action. Final score: Timberwolves 114 – Knicks 137. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Knicks a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Knicks are 4-0 at home and the Timberwolves are 3-1 on the road. Since the start of the season: 4-3 for the Knicks and 4-3 for the Timberwolves (current streaks: Knicks W2, Timberwolves W2).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Knicks 115 – 113 Timberwolves, a margin of about 2.3 points in favor of the Knicks and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Timberwolves need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Knicks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)NY +3.1 / MIN +3.1 per game
-0.0
Home-court advantageKnicks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Knicks
+2.3

Scenarios

Knicks win by 10+
27%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Timberwolves win by 10+
16%

Stat comparison Current season

MINNY
115.2
Points scored / game
116.0
111.6
Points allowed / game
112.4
47.3 %
Field goal %
42.2 %
38.4 %
3-point %
35.9 %
40.6
3-pointers attempted / game
39.0
62.7 %
Free throw %
75.8 %
51.6
Rebounds / game
48.2
27.0
Assists / game
26.8
9.2
Steals / game
7.2
4.4
Blocks / game
4.4
16.2
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

Timberwolves
Julius RandleF · #3032pts / game
Mike ConleyG · #456assists
Rudy GobertC · #279rebounds
Knicks
OG AnunobyF · #825pts / game
Jalen BrunsonG · #1110assists
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3210rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIN
No games played yet.
NY
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

MINNY
4-3Record4-3
115.2Points scored / game116.0
111.6Points allowed / game112.4
+3.1Adjusted margin / game+3.1
W2Current streakW2
4-3Last 10 games4-3
3-1 roadHome / road record4-0 home
49-33 (+5.0)Last season51-31 (+4.1)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.