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Knicks vs Timberwolves prediction NBA · Tuesday, December 23

FinalTarget Center · FanDuel SN North, MSG, NBA League Pass, DAZN (MSG)
48% win NYwin MIN 52%
FavoriteMIN
Projected margin0.7
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Minnesota Timberwolves (19-10) host the New York Knicks (21-8) on Tuesday, December 23 at 8:00 PM ET at Target Center in NBA action. Final score: Knicks 104 – Timberwolves 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Timberwolves a 52% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Timberwolves are 11-5 at home and the Knicks are 6-6 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 8-2 for the Timberwolves and 8-2 for the Knicks (current streaks: Timberwolves W2, Knicks W1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Timberwolves 116 – 115 Knicks, a margin of about 0.7 points in favor of the Timberwolves and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Knicks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Timberwolves
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIN +4.1 / NY +5.8 per game
-1.6
Home-court advantageTimberwolves at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Timberwolves
+0.7

Scenarios

Timberwolves win by 10+
23%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Knicks win by 10+
20%

Stat comparison Current season

NYMIN
119.3
Points scored / game
117.4
112.5
Points allowed / game
112.5
42.2 %
Field goal %
47.3 %
35.9 %
3-point %
38.4 %
39.0
3-pointers attempted / game
40.6
75.8 %
Free throw %
62.7 %
48.2
Rebounds / game
51.6
26.8
Assists / game
27.0
7.2
Steals / game
9.2
4.4
Blocks / game
4.4
14.8
Turnovers / game
16.2

Top performers

Knicks
Karl-Anthony TownsC · #3240pts / game
Tyler KolekG · #138assists
Josh HartG · #315rebounds
Timberwolves
Anthony EdwardsG · #538pts / game
Donte DiVincenzoG · #08assists
Rudy GobertC · #2716rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
NY
No games played yet.
MIN
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

NYMIN
21-8Record19-10
119.3Points scored / game117.4
112.5Points allowed / game112.5
+5.8Adjusted margin / game+4.1
W1Current streakW2
8-2Last 10 games8-2
6-6 roadHome / road record11-5 home
51-31 (+4.1)Last season49-33 (+5.0)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

New York Knicks Injury report Knicks

No injuries reported.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury report Timberwolves

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.