Raptors vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 8
FinalGolden 1 Center · Kings.com, TSN, NBA League Pass
31% win TORwin SAC 69%
FavoriteSAC
Projected margin6.4
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings host the Toronto Raptors on Wednesday, October 8 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 130 – Kings 122. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Kings a 69% chance to win: prediction missed.
The analysis Model
The Kings are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Kings 117 – 111 Raptors, a margin of about 6.4 points in favor of the Kings and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The overall strength gap (+0.4 vs -3.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Raptors need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Kings' offense (115.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Kings
Team strength (adjusted point differential)SAC +0.4 / TOR -3.6 per game
+4.1
Home-court advantageKings at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Kings
+6.4
Scenarios
Kings win by 10+
39%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Raptors win by 10+
10%
Stat comparison Current season
TORSAC
110.9115.7
115.2115.3
44.2 %44.5 %
30.4 %30.0 %
34.532.5
79.0 %73.1 %
45.841.5
27.322.8
14.36.8
5.52.5
14.014.3
Top performers
Raptors
Brandon IngramF · #721pts / game
Collin Murray-BoylesF · #306assistsCollin Murray-BoylesF · #307reboundsKings
Domantas SabonisF · #1119pts / game
Nique CliffordG · #109assists
Maxime RaynaudC · #426reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
TORNo games played yet.
SACNo games played yet.
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 110.9 | Points scored / game | 115.7 |
| 115.2 | Points allowed / game | 115.3 |
| -3.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +0.4 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Raptors
No injuries reported.
Injury report Kings
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.