Kings vs Raptors prediction NBA · Wednesday, April 1
At a glance
The Toronto Raptors (42-33) host the Sacramento Kings (19-57) on Wednesday, April 1 at 8:00 PM ET at Scotiabank Arena in NBA action. Final score: Kings 123 – Raptors 115. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 77% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Raptors are 21-16 at home and the Kings are 6-32 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 6-4 for the Raptors and 3-7 for the Kings (current streaks: Raptors L1, Kings L4).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Raptors dominate this matchup. The model projects Raptors 118 – 109 Kings, a margin of about 9.4 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+1.1 vs -7.6 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (112.6 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
SACTOR
Top performers
Kings
Precious AchiuwaF · #928pts / game
Malik MonkG · #05assistsPrecious AchiuwaF · #919reboundsRaptors
RJ BarrettF · #920pts / game
Scottie BarnesF · #410assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #546reboundsRecent form
SACTOR
TOR
Team comparison
| SAC | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 | Record | 42-33 |
| 111.4 | Points scored / game | 113.9 |
| 120.3 | Points allowed / game | 112.6 |
| -7.6 | Adjusted margin / game | +1.1 |
| L4 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 6-4 |
| 6-32 road | Home / road record | 21-16 home |
| 40-42 (+0.5) | Last season | 30-52 (-4.3) |
| No | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Kings
Injury report Raptors
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.