Raptors vs Kings prediction NBA · Wednesday, January 21
At a glance
The Sacramento Kings (12-32) host the Toronto Raptors (26-19) on Wednesday, January 21 at 10:00 PM ET at Golden 1 Center in NBA action. Final score: Raptors 122 – Kings 109. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Raptors a 64% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Kings are 9-15 at home and the Raptors are 13-9 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Kings and 6-4 for the Raptors (current streaks: Kings L2, Raptors W1).
The analysis Model
Slight edge to the Raptors, but the Kings have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Kings 111 – 116 Raptors, a margin of about 4.6 points in favor of the Raptors and a total around 227 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Kings and the Raptors played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (-6.6 vs +0.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Kings need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Raptors' defense allows clearly fewer points (113.1 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
TORSAC
Top performers
Raptors
Scottie BarnesF · #423pts / game
Immanuel QuickleyG · #58assists
Sandro MamukelashviliF · #549reboundsKings
Russell WestbrookG · #1823pts / game
Zach LaVineG · #85assists
Dylan CardwellC · #3213reboundsRecent form
TORSAC
TOR
Team comparison
| TOR | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-19 | Record | 12-32 |
| 113.5 | Points scored / game | 111.8 |
| 113.1 | Points allowed / game | 119.5 |
| +0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | -6.6 |
| W1 | Current streak | L2 |
| 6-4 | Last 10 games | 4-6 |
| 13-9 road | Home / road record | 9-15 home |
| 30-52 (-4.3) | Last season | 40-42 (+0.5) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Raptors
Injury report Kings
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.