Celtics vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Wednesday, October 8
FinalFedExForum · NBC Sports BO, NBA League Pass, FanDuel SN SE
54% win BOSwin MEM 46%
FavoriteBOS
Projected margin1.3
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies host the Boston Celtics on Wednesday, October 8 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 121 – Grizzlies 103. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 54% chance to win: prediction correct.
The analysis Model
A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Grizzlies 115 – 116 Celtics, a margin of about 1.3 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. Early season: the numbers still lean heavily on last season, so confidence stays cautious.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (121.7 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.2 pts/game).
What tips the balance
In points, positive = edge Grizzlies
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MEM +4.1 / BOS +7.7 per game
-3.6
Home-court advantageGrizzlies at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Grizzlies
-1.3
Scenarios
Grizzlies win by 10+
18%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Celtics win by 10+
24%
Stat comparison Current season
BOSMEM
116.3121.7
107.2116.9
46.5 %45.5 %
38.6 %39.9 %
41.538.6
76.0 %84.7 %
44.350.8
27.826.4
9.06.4
3.85.2
15.514.4
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #721pts / game
Derrick WhiteG · #910assists
Luka GarzaC · #5210reboundsGrizzlies
Jaylen WellsF · #021pts / game
Javon SmallG · #106assists
John KoncharG · #557reboundsRecent form
Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
BOSNo games played yet.
MEMNo games played yet.
MEM
Team comparison
| BOS | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-2 |
| 116.3 | Points scored / game | 121.7 |
| 107.2 | Points allowed / game | 116.9 |
| +7.7 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.1 |
| – | Current streak | – |
| – | Last 10 games | – |
| – | Home / road record | – |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
No injuries reported.
Injury report Grizzlies
No injuries reported.
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data; early in the season they rely heavily on last season. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.