Celtics vs Grizzlies prediction NBA · Friday, March 20
At a glance
The Memphis Grizzlies (24-44) host the Boston Celtics (46-23) on Friday, March 20 at 8:00 PM ET at FedExForum in NBA action. Final score: Celtics 117 – Grizzlies 112. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 68% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Grizzlies are 13-20 at home and the Celtics are 22-13 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Grizzlies and 7-3 for the Celtics (current streaks: Grizzlies W1, Celtics W3).
The analysis Model
The Celtics are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects Grizzlies 111 – 117 Celtics, a margin of about 5.7 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.
- The overall strength gap (-1.5 vs +6.5 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (107.0 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
BOSMEM
Top performers
Celtics
Jaylen BrownG · #730pts / gameJaylen BrownG · #76assists
Neemias QuetaC · #8811reboundsGrizzlies
Ty JeromeG · #27assists
Olivier-Maxence ProsperF · #187reboundsRecent form
BOSMEM
MEM
Team comparison
| BOS | MEM | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-23 | Record | 24-44 |
| 114.7 | Points scored / game | 116.6 |
| 107.0 | Points allowed / game | 118.4 |
| +6.5 | Adjusted margin / game | -1.5 |
| W3 | Current streak | W1 |
| 7-3 | Last 10 games | 2-8 |
| 22-13 road | Home / road record | 13-20 home |
| 61-21 (+9.1) | Last season | 48-34 (+4.9) |
| No | Played yesterday | No |
Injury report Celtics
Injury report Grizzlies
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.