Grizzlies vs Celtics prediction NBA · Wednesday, November 12
At a glance
The Boston Celtics (5-7) host the Memphis Grizzlies (4-8) on Wednesday, November 12 at 7:30 PM ET at TD Garden in NBA action. Final score: Grizzlies 95 – Celtics 131. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Celtics a 72% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Celtics are 2-3 at home and the Grizzlies are 1-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Celtics and 3-7 for the Grizzlies (current streaks: Celtics L1, Grizzlies L2).
The analysis Model
On paper, the Celtics dominate this matchup. The model projects Celtics 118 – 110 Grizzlies, a margin of about 7.4 points in favor of the Celtics and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Celtics and the Grizzlies played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.
- The overall strength gap (+4.8 vs -0.3 pts/game) is the main factor.
- The Grizzlies need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
- The Grizzlies' offense (118.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
- The Celtics' defense allows clearly fewer points (108.4 pts/game).
What tips the balance
Scenarios
Stat comparison Current season
MEMBOS
Top performers
Grizzlies
Jaren Jackson Jr.F · #2018pts / game
Santi AldamaF · #344assistsSanti AldamaF · #346reboundsCeltics
Payton PritchardG · #1124pts / gamePayton PritchardG · #119assists
Neemias QuetaC · #888reboundsRecent form
MEMBOS
MEM
Team comparison
| MEM | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 4-8 | Record | 5-7 |
| 118.0 | Points scored / game | 114.0 |
| 118.3 | Points allowed / game | 108.4 |
| -0.3 | Adjusted margin / game | +4.8 |
| L2 | Current streak | L1 |
| 3-7 | Last 10 games | 5-5 |
| 1-3 road | Home / road record | 2-3 home |
| 48-34 (+4.9) | Last season | 61-21 (+9.1) |
| Yes | Played yesterday | Yes |
Injury report Grizzlies
Injury report Celtics
Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.