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Bulls vs Mavericks prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalAmerican Airlines Center · CHSN, NBA League Pass, KFAA-TV, MavsTV
45% win CHIwin DAL 55%
FavoriteDAL
Projected margin1.7
Projected total235
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Dallas Mavericks (25-56) host the Chicago Bulls (31-50) on Sunday, April 12 at 8:30 PM ET at American Airlines Center in NBA action. Final score: Bulls 128 – Mavericks 149. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Mavericks a 55% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Mavericks are 15-25 at home and the Bulls are 13-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Mavericks and 2-8 for the Bulls (current streaks: Mavericks L3, Bulls L1).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Mavericks 118 – 117 Bulls, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the Mavericks and a total around 235 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Bulls need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Mavericks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)DAL -4.5 / CHI -3.9 per game
-0.6
Home-court advantageMavericks at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Mavericks
+1.7

Scenarios

Mavericks win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bulls win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

CHIDAL
116.4
Points scored / game
113.8
120.9
Points allowed / game
119.0
42.1 %
Field goal %
49.0 %
27.6 %
3-point %
34.6 %
42.0
3-pointers attempted / game
38.2
78.6 %
Free throw %
76.7 %
44.8
Rebounds / game
44.2
24.4
Assists / game
27.6
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
4.8
Blocks / game
7.4
17.8
Turnovers / game
15.6

Top performers

Bulls
Rob DillinghamG · #725pts / game
Lachlan OlbrichC · #4710assists
Lachlan OlbrichC · #4715rebounds
Mavericks
John PoulakidasG · #128pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #923assists
Moussa CisseC · #3020rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
CHI
No games played yet.
DAL
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

CHIDAL
31-50Record25-56
116.4Points scored / game113.8
120.9Points allowed / game119.0
-3.9Adjusted margin / game-4.5
L1Current streakL3
2-8Last 10 games2-8
13-27 roadHome / road record15-25 home
39-43 (-1.6)Last season39-43 (-1.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.