Match analysisToday's gamesNBA standingsEuroLeagueTrack record
← Back

Mavericks vs Bulls prediction NBA · Saturday, January 10

FinalUnited Center · CHSN+, KFAA-TV, MavsTV, NBA League Pass
44% win DALwin CHI 56%
FavoriteCHI
Projected margin2.0
Projected total234
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Chicago Bulls (17-20) host the Dallas Mavericks (14-24) on Saturday, January 10 at 8:00 PM ET at United Center in NBA action. Final score: Mavericks 107 – Bulls 125. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bulls a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Bulls are 10-9 at home and the Mavericks are 4-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the Bulls and 3-7 for the Mavericks (current streaks: Bulls L3, Mavericks L1).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects Bulls 118 – 116 Mavericks, a margin of about 2.0 points in favor of the Bulls and a total around 234 points. Expect a fast-paced, high-scoring game.

  • The Mavericks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The Bulls' offense (117.3 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.
  • The Mavericks' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.6 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bulls
Team strength (adjusted point differential)CHI -3.0 / DAL -2.7 per game
-0.3
Home-court advantageBulls at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Bulls
+2.0

Scenarios

Bulls win by 10+
26%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Mavericks win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

DALCHI
113.4
Points scored / game
117.3
116.6
Points allowed / game
120.8
49.0 %
Field goal %
42.1 %
34.6 %
3-point %
27.6 %
38.2
3-pointers attempted / game
42.0
76.7 %
Free throw %
78.6 %
44.2
Rebounds / game
44.8
27.6
Assists / game
24.4
9.0
Steals / game
9.0
7.4
Blocks / game
4.8
15.6
Turnovers / game
17.8

Top performers

Mavericks
Ryan NembhardG · #916pts / game
Ryan NembhardG · #96assists
Moussa CisseC · #3010rebounds
Bulls
Coby WhiteG · #322pts / game
Ayo DosunmuG · #138assists
Nikola VucevicC · #912rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
DAL
No games played yet.
CHI
No games played yet.

Head-to-head

Tied 1-1 this season.

Team comparison

DALCHI
14-24Record17-20
113.4Points scored / game117.3
116.6Points allowed / game120.8
-2.7Adjusted margin / game-3.0
L1Current streakL3
3-7Last 10 games5-5
4-14 roadHome / road record10-9 home
39-43 (-1.2)Last season39-43 (-1.6)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Dallas Mavericks Injury report Mavericks

No injuries reported.

Chicago Bulls Injury report Bulls

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.