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Bucks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Sunday, April 12

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · FanDuel SN WI, NBA League Pass, NBC Sports Phil
33% win MILwin PHI 67%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin5.5
Projected total229
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (44-37) host the Milwaukee Bucks (32-49) on Sunday, April 12 at 6:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 106 – 76ers 126. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 67% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 22-18 at home and the Bucks are 13-27 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 5-5 for the 76ers and 3-7 for the Bucks (current streaks: 76ers W1, Bucks W1).

The analysis Model

The 76ers are favored, but the gap isn't huge. The model projects 76ers 117 – 112 Bucks, a margin of about 5.5 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 229 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' offense (115.0 pts/game) is the more productive of the two.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -1.0 / MIL -4.2 per game
+3.2
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor 76ers
+5.5

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
36%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
28%
Bucks win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

MILPHI
111.3
Points scored / game
115.0
116.3
Points allowed / game
116.1
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
34.0 %
3-point %
32.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
24.6
Assists / game
24.6
5.8
Steals / game
9.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
16.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Bucks
Cormac RyanG · #3022pts / game
Ousmane DiengF · #218assists
Cormac RyanG · #3010rebounds
76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #021pts / game
VJ EdgecombeG · #7711assists
Andre DrummondC · #012rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILPHI
32-49Record44-37
111.3Points scored / game115.0
116.3Points allowed / game116.1
-4.2Adjusted margin / game-1.0
W1Current streakW1
3-7Last 10 games5-5
13-27 roadHome / road record22-18 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayNo

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.