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76ers vs Bucks prediction NBA · Friday, December 5

FinalFiserv Forum · FanDuel SN WI, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
34% win PHIwin MIL 66%
FavoriteMIL
Projected margin5.3
Projected total230
ConfidenceMedium

At a glance

The Milwaukee Bucks (10-13) host the Philadelphia 76ers (12-9) on Friday, December 5 at 8:00 PM ET at Fiserv Forum in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 116 – Bucks 101. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the Bucks a 66% chance to win: prediction missed. This season, the Bucks are 7-6 at home and the 76ers are 5-3 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 2-8 for the Bucks and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Bucks W1, 76ers W2).

The analysis Model

Slight edge to the Bucks, but the 76ers have what it takes to keep it close. The model projects Bucks 118 – 112 76ers, a margin of about 5.3 points in favor of the Bucks and a total around 230 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The 76ers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Bucks
Team strength (adjusted point differential)MIL -0.4 / PHI -1.7 per game
+1.4
Home-court advantageBucks at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
+1.6
Expected marginfor Bucks
+5.3

Scenarios

Bucks win by 10+
35%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
29%
76ers win by 10+
11%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIMIL
114.6
Points scored / game
115.7
116.6
Points allowed / game
116.2
42.8 %
Field goal %
44.9 %
32.6 %
3-point %
34.0 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
41.2
77.5 %
Free throw %
71.6 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
49.8
24.6
Assists / game
24.6
9.8
Steals / game
5.8
5.6
Blocks / game
4.0
12.6
Turnovers / game
16.8

Top performers

76ers
Quentin GrimesG · #522pts / game
Quentin GrimesG · #55assists
Adem BonaC · #306rebounds
Bucks
Bobby PortisF · #9522pts / game
Kevin Porter Jr.G · #79assists
Jericho SimsC · #009rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
MIL
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIMIL
12-9Record10-13
114.6Points scored / game115.7
116.6Points allowed / game116.2
-1.7Adjusted margin / game-0.4
W2Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games2-8
5-3 roadHome / road record7-6 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season48-34 (+2.5)
YesPlayed yesterdayNo

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.