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Bucks vs 76ers prediction NBA · Tuesday, January 27

FinalXfinity Mobile Arena · NBC, Peacock
44% win MILwin PHI 56%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin1.7
Projected total228
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Philadelphia 76ers (24-21) host the Milwaukee Bucks (18-26) on Tuesday, January 27 at 8:00 PM ET at Xfinity Mobile Arena in NBA action. Final score: Bucks 122 – 76ers 139. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 56% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the 76ers are 12-13 at home and the Bucks are 9-14 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the 76ers and 4-6 for the Bucks (current streaks: 76ers L2, Bucks L2).

The analysis Model

Close to a coin flip: nothing really sets either side apart. The model projects 76ers 115 – 113 Bucks, a margin of about 1.7 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 228 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The Bucks need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge 76ers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)PHI -0.9 / MIL -1.9 per game
+1.0
Home-court advantage76ers at home
+2.3
Back-to-back76ers played yesterday
-1.6
Expected marginfor 76ers
+1.7

Scenarios

76ers win by 10+
25%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
Bucks win by 10+
17%

Stat comparison Current season

MILPHI
112.7
Points scored / game
114.7
114.9
Points allowed / game
115.8
44.9 %
Field goal %
42.8 %
34.0 %
3-point %
32.6 %
41.2
3-pointers attempted / game
35.0
71.6 %
Free throw %
77.5 %
49.8
Rebounds / game
42.2
24.6
Assists / game
24.6
5.8
Steals / game
9.8
4.0
Blocks / game
5.6
16.8
Turnovers / game
12.6

Top performers

Bucks
Myles TurnerC · #331pts / game
Bobby PortisF · #958assists
Bobby PortisF · #9512rebounds
76ers
Paul GeorgeF · #1332pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #09assists
Joel EmbiidC · #219rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
MIL
No games played yet.
PHI
No games played yet.

Team comparison

MILPHI
18-26Record24-21
112.7Points scored / game114.7
114.9Points allowed / game115.8
-1.9Adjusted margin / game-0.9
L2Current streakL2
4-6Last 10 games4-6
9-14 roadHome / road record12-13 home
48-34 (+2.5)Last season24-58 (-6.2)
NoPlayed yesterdayYes

Milwaukee Bucks Injury report Bucks

No injuries reported.

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.