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76ers vs Pacers prediction NBA · Friday, April 10

FinalGainbridge Fieldhouse · FanDuel SN IN, NBC Sports Phil, NBA League Pass
57% win PHIwin IND 43%
FavoritePHI
Projected margin2.2
Projected total231
ConfidenceLow

At a glance

The Indiana Pacers (19-61) host the Philadelphia 76ers (43-37) on Friday, April 10 at 7:30 PM ET at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in NBA action. Final score: 76ers 105 – Pacers 94. Before tip-off, the Basketlog model gave the 76ers a 57% chance to win: prediction correct. This season, the Pacers are 11-28 at home and the 76ers are 21-19 on the road. Over the last 10 games: 4-6 for the Pacers and 5-5 for the 76ers (current streaks: Pacers W1, 76ers L3).

The analysis Model

A wide-open game: the model barely separates the two teams. The model projects Pacers 114 – 116 76ers, a margin of about 2.2 points in favor of the 76ers and a total around 231 points. Expect a game at a standard NBA pace. The Pacers and the 76ers played yesterday: fatigue often shows in the fourth quarter.

  • The overall strength gap (-5.6 vs -1.1 pts/game) is the main factor.
  • The Pacers need to win the pace battle to stay in the game.
  • The 76ers' defense allows clearly fewer points (116.4 pts/game).

What tips the balance

In points, positive = edge Pacers
Team strength (adjusted point differential)IND -5.6 / PHI -1.1 per game
-4.5
Home-court advantagePacers at home
+2.3
Expected marginfor Pacers
-2.2

Scenarios

Pacers win by 10+
17%
Close game (margin ≤ 5)
31%
76ers win by 10+
27%

Stat comparison Current season

PHIIND
115.1
Points scored / game
113.2
116.4
Points allowed / game
119.8
42.8 %
Field goal %
47.1 %
32.6 %
3-point %
31.2 %
35.0
3-pointers attempted / game
37.8
77.5 %
Free throw %
72.7 %
42.2
Rebounds / game
44.0
24.6
Assists / game
29.4
9.8
Steals / game
6.4
5.6
Blocks / game
4.8
12.6
Turnovers / game
14.8

Top performers

76ers
Tyrese MaxeyG · #032pts / game
Tyrese MaxeyG · #05assists
Andre DrummondC · #016rebounds
Pacers
Jarace WalkerF · #517pts / game
Quenton JacksonG · #296assists
Micah PotterC · #910rebounds

Recent form

Last 5 games (including preseason early in the season)
PHI
No games played yet.
IND
No games played yet.

Team comparison

PHIIND
43-37Record19-61
115.1Points scored / game113.2
116.4Points allowed / game119.8
-1.1Adjusted margin / game-5.6
L3Current streakW1
5-5Last 10 games4-6
21-19 roadHome / road record11-28 home
24-58 (-6.2)Last season50-32 (+2.2)
YesPlayed yesterdayYes

Philadelphia 76ers Injury report 76ers

No injuries reported.

Indiana Pacers Injury report Pacers

No injuries reported.

Probabilities estimated by the Basketlog model from available public data. They are neither a certainty nor betting advice.